Rob Neyer Leaves ESPN

by A.J. Coltrane

Rob Neyer’s last day at ESPN was today.

Neyer was the second sabermetrics guy I latched onto — after Bill James. He’s had a big impact over the years on the way I look at baseball.

Hopefully ESPN will bring in someone stats-oriented to fill that slot.

Best wishes to Rob Neyer for the future.

———————

[Update:  That was quick. Neyer has joined SB Nation less than 24 hours after leaving ESPN.  In Neyer’s words:]

“There are a lot of things to love about SB Nation, which is why I’m here. But among them is that they — excuse me, we — don’t see us as us and you as them,” Neyer wrote.” We’ve got bloggers who most professional writers probably consider them … but we know better.

“We know that some of our writers are every bit as talented and knowledgeable as anyone you’ll find working for newspapers or the Big Boy websites. We also know that today’s readers are tomorrow’s writers, and that often the only difference is opportunity.”

Fisher And Young, The Pink Slip Twins

by A.J. Coltrane

Jeff Fisher has joined Vince Young on the unemployment line. I’m a little suprised — I thought it was an either/or proposition.

In other NFL news, a tweet dustup between Antonio Cromartie and Matt Hasselbeck:

Comartie had this to say on Monday:

“Especially when you don’t get no information about nothing from the union or the owners,” Cromartie said Monday. “So to tell you the truth they need to get their damn minds together and get this [expletive] done. Stop bitching about money. Money ain’t nothing. Money can be here and gone. Us players, we want to go out and play football. It’s something we’ve been doing and we love it and enjoy it. It’s our livelihood.”

Then, according to ESPN:

On Thursday, a tweet on Seattle Seahawks quarterback Matt Hasselbeck‘s account said: “Somebody ask Cromartie if he knows what CBA stands for.”

The tweet was later removed but not before Cromartie found out about it.

He responded Thursday afternoon with a tweet that said: “hey Matt if u have something to then say it be a man about it. Don’t erase it. I will smash ur face in.”

Then this from Hasselbeck:

Hasselbeck later apologized for his initial tweet.

“Sorry for the joke man. No hard feelings,” a tweet from his account said. “DB’s & QB’s have a hard time getting along I guess sometimes. lol.”

As usual though, Jason Whitlock has the truth in his piece about Cromartie’s initial outburst- “Players Will Turn On Union Director”:

Cromartie had a lot more to say, but I’m not going to waste time repeating it here. He’s not the most eloquent, concise or thoughtful speaker. Let me translate what he said:

“I got baby mama drama and at least nine mouths to feed. I’m a free agent this offseason and need a new contract. DeMaurice better get this (spit) settled quick, because I can’t get behind on my child-support payments.”

Now, the overwhelming majority of NFL players do not have nine kids by eight different women like New York’s fertile, 26-year-old, condom-hating, shutdown corner. But Cromartie is not alone when it comes to baby mama drama among NFL players.

Roger Goodell and NFL owners probably can’t control their laughter thinking about battling Smith in a prolonged contract dispute. We’re two weeks from the Super Bowl and Cromartie is already raising a white flag.

I thought it was pretty savvy of Goodell to set his salary to $1 in the event of a lockout. He won’t be getting paid either, so the players can’t cry poverty… Of course, Goodell doesn’t have eight child-support payments.

Seriously though — “I will smash ur face in.”  ??? 

What a Neanderthal.

Seahawks Career Passing Leaders

by A.J. Coltrane

Because it came up today — the Seahawks career passing leaders:

Rank Player Career Yards
1 Matt Hasselbeck 29434
2 Dave Krieg 26132
3 Jim Zorn 20122
4 Rick Mirer 9094
5 Jon Kitna 7552
6 Warren Moon 5310
7 Seneca Wallace 3547
8 John Friesz 2971
9 Trent Dilfer 2560
10 Kelly Stouffer 2333
11 Jeff Kemp 1735
12 Stan Gelbaugh 1426
13 Steve Myer 851
14 Dan McGwire 745
15 Gale Gilbert 703
16 Brock Huard 667
17 Charlie Whitehurst 507

There’s one guy in the top 10 I *never* would have guessed:   John Friesz.

For some reason, *this* image came up when searching for Gino Toretta.

Jeff Kemp didn’t quite make the top 10, though I thought he might.

Other notables:

Gino Toretta #26.

Steve Largent #27.

Norm Johnson #29.

And the fewest yards, greater than zero:  Ricky Watters.  1 yard.  #34.

Seahawks Fire Offensive Coordinator

by A.J. Coltrane

The Seahawks have fired Offensive Coordinator Jeremy Bates. Also:

Quarterbacks coach Jedd Fisch left to go University of Miami to be its offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach.

Defensive line coach Dan Quinn is leaving the team to become the defensive coordinator at the University of Florida.

Defensive backs coach Jerry Gray left to become an assistant head coach and defensive backs coach at the University of Texas.

I think it’s interesting that the other coaches who “left” all went back to coaching college.

ESPN writer Mike Sando’s take on it:

…The Seahawks ranked 28th in total yards, 31st in rushing yards, 29th in time of possession and 28th in first downs per game. Those depressed rankings seemed understandable, in my view, given the state of the roster in general and the offensive line in particular.

Carroll could have lived with poor first-year production, I think, if he thought Bates were the right coordinator.

Making this move after only one season suggests the fit wasn’t right. Carroll is resoundingly upbeat. He doesn’t cuss out players. Bates isn’t much of a people person. He’s gruff and takes a harder line in his approach to players. Of course, Carroll would have known these things about Bates, it seems, because the two worked together at USC in 2009.

Absent something more, this is the sort of move that makes greater sense when the head coach has another candidate in mind.

Josh McDaniels’ name comes to mind immediately. Talks between McDaniels and the St. Louis Rams hit a snag this week, ESPN’s Chris Mortensen reported. McDaniels also interviewed with the Minnesota Vikings…

Of course, the baggage associated with Josh McDaniels may include …  TIM TEBOW!!

——————–

Late edit:  Less than three hours after this post, the Rams hire McDaniels as Offensive Coordinator.  Whew.

Fangraphs Graphs

by A.J. Coltrane

Fangraphs has a feature that allows you to compare the career value of major league hitters in graph form. For example, here’s Dale Murphy, Kirby Puckett, and Andy Van Slyke.

They were more comparable than I might have guessed.

Or how about Wade Boggs, Tony Gwynn, Rod Carew, and Ichiro?

That one illustrates the greatness of Boggs — he’s significantly better than some good company.

Last one — since we’ve been on the subject lately:  Edgar Martinez, Frank Thomas, and Jim Thome. Note that Edgar was the most valuable every season from age 32-38. (Try sticking Bob Horner into the 4th slot and see what that looks like.)

Fun stuff.

The Willie Mays Hall of Fame or Why Joe Posnanski is a god

By Blaidd Drwg

Joe Posnanski, long suffering Royals fan and quite possibly the best and most intelligent baseball writer on the planet, may have written the single best sarcastic piece on the Hall of Fame ever. You can find it here. If someone were ever stupid enough to put me in charge of a baseball team, Joe P. would be the first guy I would hire (and you won’t find a bigger Rob Neyer fan on the planet who isn’t related to him).

On an somewhat related note – why are arguably the 3 best baseball writers all Royals fans – Neyer, Posnanski and Rany Jazayerli? I could chalk it off to the suffering in a small market, but then why the hell can’t I name a single guy who writes about baseball and is a Pirates fan?

Joe P. is an impressive writer who spends a lot of time backing up his arguments. His latest piece however is sarcasm at its best (for those of you who know the Bad Wolf, you know he loves his sarcasm). Joe has as very logical argument for redefining the Hall of Fame, renaming it the Willie Mays Hall of Fame for the following reason:

I cannot tell you how many times in my life, much less in the last month, I have received emails that basically say something like: “Willie Mays — now THAT is a Hall of Famer. That is who I have in mind when I think of the Hall of Fame, not (Player X) who you wrote about.”

So, that’s my mission here — to create The Willie Mays Hall of Fame.

The article is written in typical Joe P. fashion – he gives the criteria for selection, the rules of the game and then goes about methodically analyzing the data.

I won’t tell you the conclusion, but lets just say I agree with him. If you are a baseball fan, or just a fan of sarcastic journalism, you should read the article.

On a side note – Coltrane – we need to add Joe P. to the blogroll.

Quarterback Carousel – Conclusions

by A.J. Coltrane

The 2010 NFL regular season is now over.  How’d the predictions go in this September post?

Team 2009 PPG 2010 Predicted PPG 2010 Actual PPG
Raiders 12.3 17.1 25.6
Redskins 16.6 20.5 18.9
Eagles 26.8 25.4 27.4

So, what happened?

Raiders: 

Passes:  Jason Campbell 67% of team attempts, 84.5 rating;  Bruce Gradkowski 31% of team attempts, 66.3 rating.   Aggregate rating 77.5.

“The Raiders will make a big leap forward with Jason Campbell.  Part of that will be due to JaMarcus Russell’s release, simple addition by subtraction.”  [Actual Result — The Raiders scoring went up by 13.3(!) points per game.]

JaMarcus Russell must have been more of a black hole than I could have ever believed.  The Raiders more than doubled their scoring output from 2009, finishing 6th in points scored.   Also:  Jason Campbell is a good quarterback, hopefully more people will see that now.  He’s earned it.

Redskins:

Passes:  Donovan McNabb 78% of team attempts, 77.1 rating; Rex Grossman 22% of team attempts, 81.2 rating.  Aggregate rating 78.0.

“McNabb and new coach Mike Shanahan will score 3-5 more points per game than the 2009 Redskins.  A big part of that will be (or should be) attributed to the upgrade from Zorn to Shanahan.”  [Actual Result — The Redskins scoring went up by 2.3 points per game.  How much of the credit should go to the coach?]

McNabb wasn’t worth the 5-6 points that John Clayton predicted — in reality it wound up being something of a lost season for McNabb.  His status in Washington turned into a very public mess that was handled extremely poorly by McNabb, his agent, and the Redskins.  I think other teams will now think twice before acquiring McNabb — he may be permanently damaged goods.  (What happens if the next team feels the need to bench him?)  Going into the year I felt McNabb was overrated.  Now I think he’s cooked.

Eagles:

Passes:  Michael Vick 66% of team attempts, 100.2 rating;  Kevin Kolb 34% of team attempts, 76.1 rating.  Aggregate rating 92.1.

“The Eagles won’t miss McNabb.  Philadelphia was 5th in the league in scoring last year, so some regression back to the pack is figured in the chart below.  Kevin Kolb will be an All-Pro within three years.”  [Actual Result — Michael Vick miraculously resuscitated his career and the Eagles scoring went up by .6 points per game.]

It looked like I picked the wrong All-Pro, though I still think Kolb may get there eventually.  Vick took almost exactly 2/3rds of the snaps, and I would guess that’s about as many as he *can* take, given his propensity to put himself in harm’s way.  I don’t think Vick will ever get close to repeating his 2010 season;  he had career bests in Completion Percentage, Yards Per Attempt, TD Percentage, and Interception Percentage — everything that went into his career best Passer Rating of 100.2, good for 4th in the league.

The Eagles win the brass ring.

Some Thought By Actual HOF Voters

 

Everyone serious baseball fan should have an old copy of this book sitting on a bookshelf.

By Blaidd Drwg

This will be my last HOF related post, I promise, well my last one until the voting is announced.

One of the great things about technology is that we have access to all sorts of information that we never have before – I need to look up the stats from the catchers from the 1914 Braves, I no longer have to drag out my copy for “The Baseball Encyclopedia” or “Total Baseball” (BTW – I still have both sitting on my bookshelf), I can just hop online and get all the information I need from baseball-reference.com.

We also now have writers willing to share who they are voting for before the Hall of Fame results are announced.

Two things I read today, one in the Seattle Times and one in the Chicago Tribune that are worth commenting on.

In the Times today, Larry Stone wrote about his ballot. I have to admit, I applaud most of his selections (his votes cast look very similar to mine) and the only one that I might have any real quibble with is Edgar Martinez, who, in reality wouldn’t be the worst selection for the HOF. He gets extra points from me for voting for Larry Walker. My one real problem is his argument against Rafael Palmeiro:

After much deliberation, I finally determined where I would draw my steroids line, at least on this ballot: I draw it with Palmeiro, who failed his test after MLB had finally come out of its hazy netherworld of tacit allowance of the steroids culture. By 2005, an anti-steroids policy had been codified in the Basic Agreement, and the penalties were spelled out. Every player knew the consequences. And still Palmeiro — after wagging his finger at Congress — tested positive for a steroid.

If you believe the Chicago sportswriters, this guy should be in the Hall of Fame (and they are right!)

I am sorry, I don’t buy the argument. Palmeiro got caught cheating and he served the penalty prescribed by MLB. Let me ask you, if Palmeiro had been caught say doctoring his bat or scuffing a baseball, which would obviously give a competitive advantage to himself and his team, would you preclude him from the HOF?

Stone’s article was well written and thoughtful and really the Palmeiro exclusion was the only fault I could find. The ballots published today in the Chicago Tribune were another issue. Most of the voters flat out said they would not vote for anyone linked to steroids. Here are some of my favorite notes:

Pat Sullivan:

I also couldn’t find my way onto the growing Bert Blyleven bandwagon, though I suspect he will get in at last, and I ignored some very-good-but-not-good-enough players such as Edgar Martinez, Fred McGriff, Jeff Bagwell and Juan Gonzalez, who made a cameo appearance in the Mitchell Report.

This was probably one of the weakest ballots in years, with no slam-dunks. The only four players who made my cut all had Chicago ties: Harold Baines, Tim Raines, Lee Smith and Roberto Alomar.

Yes Pat, you ignored some very-good-but-not-good enough players, but you voted for Harold Baines, who had inferior numbers to Martinez, McGriff, Bagwell and Gonzalez and is significantly less deserving of election than Bert Blyleven. I understand casting the sentimental vote for a guy like Baines, but you can’t do that when you argue that someone like Bagwell shouldn’t make the hall. At least Raines gets a vote from Sullivan, although I suspect that it would not have happened if Raines had not played for the White Sox in his career.

Phil Rogers:

I’m not going to vote for Bagwell, but that’s because I feel his resume isn’t quite strong enough, not because of steroid suspicion. And if I’m not voting for Bagwell, I can’t keep voting for Harold Baines (most hits of any eligible player not in the Hall) after four years of support, so he’s off my ballot.

Ok, Phil, you feel Bagwell’s resume isn’t strong enough, but yet, you are voting for Larry Walker, who was never the dominant player Bagwell was during the same era, and you are voting for Jack Morris, who was never dominant, period. Another vote for Raines though, so I can sort of give you a pass.

Dave van Dyck:

So the question becomes: Who is deserving? This year’s ballot is especially tough because of the number of “borderliners.” And if you have to think long and hard about a yea or nay, the vote probably should be “no.”

So this year’s ballot included only three names.

Second baseman Alomar and closer Lee Smith helped define their positions in their era. And Jack Morris was a more dominant pitcher than Blyleven.

It was agonizing leaving off Blyleven and those for whom statistical arguments can be made such as Jeff Bagwell, Barry Larkin, Don Mattingly, Tim Raines and Larry Walker. Oh, and Alan Trammell, who should be more than an afterthought. But the Hall should be reserved for the very best of the best, not the best of the rest.

Lee Smith, who I love, was likely only the 3rd or 4th most dominant reliever of his era and probably gets the homer vote again. Morris more dominant than Blyleven, I would love to know the argument that backs that statement up. If the hall should be reserved for the very best of the best, how do you not make the argument that Bagwell and Raines don’t fit that bill?

Fred Mitchell:

I also voted for 12-time All-Star shortstop Barry Larkin (.295 with .975 fielding percentage) and big-game pitcher Jack Morris (254 victories) to move up the charts in the balloting. Morris was a member of three Series champions and had a 4-2 Series record.

I don’t understand how you can vote for Larkin and not Trammell, but that might be splitting hairs. Morris as a big game pitcher, HAH! He makes no mention of why he didn’t vote for Bagwell, Palmeiro or McGwire at all. He did at least vote for Blyleven.

Philip Hersh:

My ballot does include seven of the nine players I voted for a year ago (one was inductee Andre Dawson). I dropped Lee Smith and added Tim Raines (fifth all-time in stolen bases); Dave Parker (an exceptional all-around player); and first-year candidate Larry Walker (.313 career average, seven Gold Gloves).

Good for him for adding Raines and dropping Smith. I don’t understand Parker (maybe he is voting for Cobra because it is his last year on the ballot). He votes for both Larkin and Trammell but inexplicably votes for Mattingly and not for Bagwell. No reason is given for not voting for Bags, but I do think it is probably because of steroid suspicion.

Should be interesting to see the results on Wednesday.

Will There Be A New Coach In Cleveland?

By Blaidd Drwg

Seneca Wallace on the possibility of Mike Holmgren returning to coaching:

“I kind of do just because things probably haven’t turned out the way he wanted on offense and being an offensive guy, I think he still has that itch to come back to coach,”

If Mike Holmgren really wants to coach again, and I always did believe that he had every intention of eventually making himself head coach of the Browns when he took the President of Football Operations job with them, he is going to do it.

Holmgren and Mangini have a meeting about the future of the Cleveland Browns on Monday. I would be willing to bet the mortgage payment that Mike Mangini is out of a job by the end of a week (especially in light of the thrashing that the Browns took this week) and Holmgren becomes head coach sometime in the next few weeks, right after the Browns pretend to interview a couple of candidates.

–UPDATED 3:20 PM – it didn’t even take to the end of the week – Mangini is out of a job.