Danny Ainge and the Demise of the Celtics Empire

By Blaidd Drwg

There is an article on ESPN about Danny Ainge being willing to break up the Celtics Big 3 of Garnett, Allen and Pierce. The Celtics are an old team, more than half of their roster is 29 or older and 4 of their 5 starters are over the age of 33. That is really not a recipe for success in the NBA. Is it any real wonder that the Celtics have started 5-8? What I really found interesting is a comment Ainge made in the article:

Ainge saw the Celtics pass up deals when Larry Bird, Kevin McHale and Robert Parish were aging, and the result was a steady deterioration that saw Boston not make the playoffs or advance beyond the first round from the 1992-93 to 2000-01 seasons.

“First of all, it’s a different era,” Ainge told The Globe. “I sat with Red (Auerbach) during a Christmas party (in the 1990s). Red was talking to Larry, Kevin, and myself and there was a lot of trade discussion at the time, and Red actually shared some of the trade discussions. And I told Red, what are you doing? Why are you waiting?

“He had a chance to trade Larry (to Indiana) for Chuck Person and Herb Williams and (Steve) Stipanovich and he had a chance to trade Kevin (to Dallas) for Detlef Schrempf and Sam Perkins. I was like, ‘Are you kidding?’ I mean, I feel that way now. If I were presented with those kind of deals for our aging veterans, it’s a done deal to continue the success.”

Maybe it is just me, but it seems that this conversation took place after Bird, Parrish and McHale were retired. If that is the case, why the heck would you have said “What are you doing? Why are you waiting?” If this conversation took place in the 1990’s, those deals were long since past being able to be made. So either the conversation took place in the 1980’s, which would be odd, or Ainge didn’t think about the tense of his quote and should have used the past tense. My best guess is that this offer came around 1988-1989, which, ironically, would have been the year the Celtics traded Ainge to the Kings with Brad Lohaus for Ed Pinckney and Joe Kleine (not one of the better deals for the Celtics).

Would these deals have benefited the Celtics, most likely. The Celtics would have come out way ahead on the McHale deal. The problem is much more than just swapping players. I lived in Boston for 12 years. Larry Bird is pretty much as close to God as you can get in Boston after Ted Williams. I remember going to Celtics games well after Bird retired and he would get a standing ovation from the crowd, at half time, every time he walked across the floor to the tunnel. Red may have been the architect of the greatest franchise in history and not even he would be dumb enough to be known as the guy who traded Larry Bird. Bird was going to be a Celtic player as long as he wanted to be, as long as Red had any say in the matter.

I think what really did the Celtics in was poor drafting and a change in the way the game was played. Right around 1990, the NBA went from being a sport about teamwork to a game dominated by inside post players. Let’s look at the Celtics 1st Round picks from 1988 – 1995.

1988 – Brian Shaw (24th Overall)
1989 – Michael Smith (13th Overall)
1990 – Dee Brown (19th Overall)
1991 – Rick Fox (24th Overall)
1992 – Jon Barry (21st Overall)
1993 – Acie Earl (19th Overall)
1994 – Eric Montross (9th Overall)
1995 – Eric Williams (14th Overall)

Only one of those players, Dee Brown, averaged better than 10 Points per Game in his career. Granted, they were generally drafting in the bottom half of the first round, but the effectively drafted a bunch of role players and never supplemented that with a solid free agent signing. There were 2 truly awful picks in that group, solely on where they drafted.

In 1989, which is one of the deepest drafts in NBA history, the Celtics got 3 lousy seasons of Michael Smith and passed up the following players, all of whom were drafted in the first round after Smith: Tim Hardaway, Dana Barros, Shawn Kemp, BJ Armstrong and Vlade Divac (although the Celtics did redeem themselves a bit by taking Dino Radja in the second round).

In 1994, they completely blew it by taking the “great white hope”, a slow footed center from UNC, Eric Montross. Granted, there wasn’t a huge amount of talent at the back end of the draft, but honestly, it wasn’t hard to see that Montross wasn’t going to be the force in the middle the Celtics needed him to be. The poor drafting was supplemented by poor roster management. Here is the roster the Celtics fielded the year after Bird retired:

No. Player   Pos Ht Wt Birth Date Exp College
4  Alaa Abdelnaby   F-C 6-10 240 June 24, 1968 3 Duke University
7 Dee Brown G 6-1 160 November 29, 1968 3 Jacksonville University
12 Chris Corchiani G 6-0 185 March 28, 1968 2 North Carolina State University
20 Sherman Douglas G 6-0 180 September 15, 1966 4 Syracuse University
55 Acie Earl F-C 6-10 240 June 23, 1970 R University of Iowa
44 Rick Fox F-G 6-7 230 July 24, 1969 2 University of North Carolina
34 Kevin Gamble F-G 6-5 210 November 13, 1965 6 University of Iowa
43 Tony Harris G 6-3 190 May 13, 1967 1 University of New Orleans
30 Todd Lichti G-F 6-4 205 January 8, 1967 4 Stanford University
31 Xavier McDaniel F 6-7 205 June 4, 1963 8 Wichita State University
27 Jimmy Oliver G-F 6-5 205 July 12, 1969 1 Purdue University
00 Robert Parish C 7-0 230 August 30, 1953 17 Centenary College of Louisiana
54 Ed Pinckney F 6-9 195 March 27, 1963 8 Villanova University
40 Dino Radja F-C 6-11 225 April 24, 1967 R
50 Matt Wenstrom C 7-1 250 November 4, 1970 R University of North Carolina

Not exactly striking fear into the hearts of opponents, huh?

A few years ago, when Ainge started building the current Celtics roster, I told a friend of mine they probably were built for a 3-4 year run before the team got too old (and I had a very low opinion of Ainge as a GM and his ability to build a team with home grown talent). This is year 5 of that Celtics run. The Celtics have gotten old and have gotten little out of their last 5 drafts. Unfortunately, I believe the Celtics are headed for yet another down period in their storied franchise history.

Mariner’s Fanfest Impressions

by A.J. Coltrane

Impression #1 — The line.

We got there right at 11:00. The M’s had one line for the autograph seekers, and one line for everybody else. As might be expected at kid-friendly event, there were a *lot* of big purses/ backpacks/ strollers. It took a while to get in. Casper Wells spoke at 11:10, but we were just barely in the stadium by then. Missed it:

See the point of convergence at the horizon? The line continues around the corner from there.

Impression #2 — Taijuan Walker and James Paxton seem to be a couple of personable guys. Paxton in particular knew how to handle the crowd and give all the “right” answers. They’re both pitchers, and Baseball America has them as the M’s #2 and #4 rated prospects, respectively. (Jesus Montero is #1, and Danny Hultzen is #3.)

 

Rizzs, Walker, and Paxton.

Impression #3 — Miguel Olivo did a good job with his interview as well:

Brad Adam and Miguel Olivo

 

Impression #4 — These young teenage guys aren’t getting laid for a long, long time. They sat in front of me and seemed oblivious to the fact that I was taking pictures, though clearly it wasn’t the only thing they’re oblivious of:

You can see Olivo off in the distance.

Impression #5 — I’m pretty sure he was getting paid to wear this ensemble:

 

Working for the guy in the golf shirt. I'm not sure which is worse, the sombrero, or the sweater.

Impression #6 — The Mariners couldn’t afford an animatronic Dave Niehaus, so they had him bronzed instead. (The M’s elected to bump up the creepiness by having some of Dave’s most memorable play calling on an endless loop…)

 

Wild Spending in the Baseball Offseason

By Blaidd Drwg

After years of screaming poverty in Montreal, Jeff Loria was part of the ridiculous scheme that gave the Expos to MLB, gave him the Marlins and gave John Henry, another fantastically rich man who was crying poverty in South Florida, the Boston Red Sox.

As you know, MLB did everything they could to make the Expos fail in Montreal and eventually moved them to DC, Henry all of a sudden “found” the ability to pay for a team with a 140 million dollar payroll and Loria just kept screaming poverty in his new home in South Florida, saying he needed a shiny new stadium paid for by public money to be successful. and effectively selling off any player that became a free agent.

This season, thanks to a new taxpayer financed stadium and a horrific new logo, Loria all of a sudden has found extra millions to do this:

December 9, 2011 Agreed to terms with LHP Mark Buehrle on a four-year contract. Designed RHP Clay Hensley for assignment.
December 8, 2011 Agreed to terms with SS Jose Reyes on a six-year contract.
December 5, 2011 Agreed to terms with RHP Heath Bell on a three-year contract.

The Marlins had a payroll of somewhere around 58 million in 2011. Care to guess what their expected payroll number in 2012 is? Well, according to baseball-reference’s wonderful salary tracker, somewhere around 105 million. Amazing what rebranding a franchise will do to loosen up the purse strings. The Marlins back loaded the above deals so that Buehrle and Bell are only making 6 million this season and Reyes is making 10 million. The problem with back loading a deal is at some point you get a big jump in what you are paying the players. Let’s take a look:

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Reyes 10 million 10 million 16 million 22 million 22 million 22 million
Buehrle 6 million 11 million 18 million 19 million
Bell 6 million 9 million 9 million

It gets really ugly in 2014 for the Marlins. On top of the salaries above, their 2 best pitchers, Josh Johnson and Ricky Nolasco, are both free agents in 2014, Hanley Ramirez is scheduled to make 16 million and their stud first baseman, Mike Stanton, is eligible for arbitration. Just counting Reyes, Buehrle, Bell and Ramirez, the team is on the hook for 59 million in payroll. Heck, for 2013, the Marlins are projected to be somewhere between 125 and 145 million for payroll, which I don’t think is going to happen. I think we are going to see a repeat of a disturbing trend that has been there since the beginning in South Florida – owner bumps up the payroll to a long term unsustainable level to make a World Series run, sells off the players returning the team to mediocrity and then sell the team.

The Marlins could be in for an interesting ride – they have the ever volatile Ozzie Guillen at the helm, they have a new stadium which no one knows how it is going to play, they have a number of players coming off of injuries, Hanley Ramirez is unhappy about being moved to 3B and they added the ever entertaining Carlos Zambrano to the mix. My prediction is the circus in South Florida yields a .500 team this season and they are breaking the team up by June of next year.

The Boston College Eagles Men’s Basketball Team

By Blaidd Drwg

One of the drawbacks about being on the West Coast and having your alma mater on the East Coast is that you don’t get to see a ton of games unless they happen to be nationally televised. As a result, this season, most of my knowledge of Boston College basketball is coming from what I read, and generally it is not good. Heck, they are currently 304th in the nation in scoring, which is just terrible.

The Eagles are a very young team with most of the roster consisting of freshman. That is not a good recipe for success, especially when you play your conference games in the ACC. Most of the pre-season write-ups on the Eagles were unfavorable and predicting a disastrous season. Their non-conference schedule, not exactly studded with tough opponents, was a disaster, leaving the team with a 5-9 record entering into ACC play. How bad was it? Here you go:

  • They beat New Hampshire by 3 at home. A nice way to start off the season.
  • They lost to Holy Cross by 18. HC was 6-8 in non-conference play.
  • They lost to Massachusetts by 36 at home. UMASS is actually pretty good, sporting a 14-5 record, but really hasn’t beaten anyone of consequence.
  • They lost to St Louis by 11. This might have been the highpoint of the season thus far – they were actually competitive with a decent team.
  • The beat UC Riverside by 4, in double OT. You should never need to go to double OT to beat UC Riverside.
  • They lost to New Mexico by 18.
  • They lost to Penn St. by 8 at home. Penn St. is probably the worst team in the Big 10.
  • They lost to Boston University by 14 at home. Ugh, nothing worse than losing the Battle of Comm Ave.
  • They lost to Providence by 7 on the road. PC is one of the worst teams in the Big East.
  • They beat Stony Brook by 15 at home.
  • They beat Bryant by 20 at home. Don’t look now, we have a winning streak!
  • They beat Sacred Heart by 10 at home. Three in a row!!!
  • They lost to Harvard by 21 at home. Not a surprise, Harvard is actually good and was ranked #23 going into that game.
  • They lost to URI by 6 in double OT at home. URI was 2-12 going into this game. Definitely the low point of the season.

Then ACC play starts with a 23 point drubbing by #4 UNC. I had just about written off the season completely and then BC surprises me with back to back wins against Clemson and Virginia Tech. Yes, both of those wins were by 2 points, and both of those teams are currently at the bottom of the ACC standings, and both of those wins came at home, but you know what, I was expecting the Eagles to go 0 for the conference, so I will take back to back wins right now, even if the chances of the Eagles winning another ACC game are pretty low. I think I need to post the ACC standing just for posterity, considering I doubt that BC will be this high up on the list again this season:

2011 – 12 ACC STANDINGS
TEAM CONF GB OVR
#4 Duke 3-0 15-2
Florida State 3-1 .5 12-6
#8 North Carolina 2-1 1 15-3
North Carolina State 2-1 1 13-5
Boston College 2-1 1 7-10
Maryland 2-2 1.5 12-5
#17 Virginia 1-1 1.5 14-2
Miami (FL) 1-2 2 10-6
Wake Forest 1-2 2 10-7
Georgia Tech 1-2 2 8-9
Clemson 1-3 2.5 9-9
Virginia Tech 0-3 3 11-6

 

Moyer Making a “Comeback”

By Blaidd Drwg

The 'real' Methuselah rookie card. I am not sure he was old enough to drive when that picture was taken. Heck, I am not sure they had cars when that picture was taken.

Methuselah, err…I mean Jamie Moyer is planning on making a comeback, at age 49, with the Colorado Rockies. I like Jamie Moyer, I think he is a swell guy, but Jamie, it is time to hang it up.

Some reasons why this is not going to go well:

  • Despite being a lefty, he is 49 and not a knuckleballer and isn’t named Satchel. He was barely effective at 47, when he last pitched in the majors.
  • He is coming off reconstructive elbow surgery. Pitchers half his age sometimes don’t come back from that and I don’t think all of the conditioning in the world will help. On the flip side, I doubt that he could actually lose any speed on his “fastball”.
  • As mentioned, he wasn’t all that effective in his last stint in the majors in Philadelphia. He would be pitching in Coors Field. He has a tendency to give up the long ball. You do the math.

Somehow I don’t think that Jamie has any desire to be a LOOGY and will be expecting to make the team as a starter. I really hope that he doesn’t embarrass himself too badly.

My prediction – his elbow doesn’t hold up, he retires before playing a game in spring training and gets a job as a coach somewhere.

Two Unrelated Thoughts On The Lakers

by A.J. Coltrane

Kobe scored 48 the last Tuesday. The ESPN highlight package for the game opened with Kobe with the ball at the left of the free-throw line, then taking a big dribble and a big pivot step. He then took five more steps, doing a series of small shuffles away from his defender until he had enough space to get up a shot. I know it was seven steps because as I was watching the highlight I said to myself: “That’s a lot of steps!” , then I slowed it down and counted. During Kobe’s dance his defender was frozen in place — if his defender had moved forward to close the gap Kobe would have simply jumped into him and drawn a shooting foul.

I *was* going to post a link to the highlight package, but ESPN removed it from circulation — as far as I can tell they only showed it the one time, then replaced it with a different series of highlights. It’s a conspiracy! I’m guessing some phone calls were involved.

Here’s good read about Kobe Bryant on Grantland.

2nd Thought: Before the Mavericks (at) Lakers game last night the production crew scanned the crowd, showing all the “celebrities”. The celebrities included the usuals like Nicholson, Adam Sandler, and Chris Tucker. They also showed Dyan Cannon. I’m wondering if including Dyan Cannon in the celebrity montage is just a courtesy at this point — when was the last time she was actually famous? And has anyone under the age of 40 ever heard of her?

I tried a Google search for a picture of Cannon. The first autofill was “Diane Cannon Plastic Surgery”.

A Methuselah rookie card!

 Yep.

Bonus trivia: Did you know Cannon was married to Cary Grant? If Grant were still alive, tomorrow he’d be 108 years old.

Happy Birthday Cary Grant – you handsome man!

 

 

The Pass Happy NFL

By Blaidd Drwg

An interesting stat was mentioned in the Giants-Falcons playoff game – Eli Manning’s 4,900 yard season was the 6th highest single season total in NFL history. That is impressive, until I realized that Eli Manning’s 4,900 yard season was the 4th highest total in the NFL THIS SEASON. Heck, the NFL went so pass happy this year that Manning only had the 3rd highest total in the NFC this season. Three of the five 5,000 yard seasons in NFL history occurred this year and 2 QB’s (Brees and Brady) both Broke Dan Marino’s NFL mark for a season.

Granted, a lot of this had to do with the length of the NFL season (the 16 game schedule is only 35 years old) and changes to the rules that make it easier on the QB’s and WR’s, as well as a shift to the short passes of West Coast offense, which is all about high percentage short passes, but it got out of control this season.

Strangely, with all of the passing that happened this year, the NFL single game record still stands – set by Hall of Famer Norm Van Brocklin with 554 yards way back in 1954. Matthew Stafford was the only QB this season to throw for at least 500 yards in a game this season and he still ended up 34 yards short of the record.

Former BC Eagles in the NFL

By Blaidd Drwg

There are currently 15 former Boston College Eagles in the NFL. They are:

Ron Brace – Patriots
BJ Raji – Packers
Gosder Cherilus – Lions
Jo-Lonn Dunbar – Saints
Matt Ryan – Falcons
Will Blackmon – Giants
Ricky Brown – Raiders
Mathias Kiwanuka – Giants
Jereny Trueblood – Buccaneers
Tim Bulman – Texans
Chris Snee – Giants
Antonio Garay – Chargers
Dan Koppen – Patriots
Mark Colombo – Dolphins
Matt Hasselbeck – Titans

Of course, there is also the BC connection with Tom Coughlin at the helm of the Giants. Not bad for a school that has not exactly been known as a football powerhouse over the years. Since my beloved Steelers are out of the playoffs, I usually end up rooting for the team that is left with the most BC players, which is, the Giants. Their playoff run is an interesting one this year, considering that they could potentially face a team in every round of the playoffs that has at least 1 former BC player on it:

Wild Card Round – they beat the Matt Ryan lead Atlanta Falcons
Divisional Round – they play the Green Bay Packers who have BJ Raji on their Defensive Line
Conference Championship – They could potentially play the New Orleans Saints with Jo-Lonn Dunbar roaming the secondary
Super Bowl – They might end up playing the New England Patriots with Dan Koppen on the offensive line.

It probably doesn’t mean much to most people, but as a BC alumnus, I think it is cool.

The Stupidity of the NFL Playoff System

By Drwg Blaidd

The NFL really needs to change the way that the playoffs are seeded. We have had 2 consecutive seasons where a team that was .500 or worse got to host a team that was at least 4 wins better than them in the opening round of the playoffs.

I think that the NFL needs to go to an NBA style playoff system – you give the division winners with the 2 best records the 1 & 2 seeds (and the bye) and then you rank the remaining teams based on records. It pisses me off that my team, who was tied with the second best record in the conference, has to play on the road the entire playoffs (unless the unlikely scenario of Steelers – Bengals occurs for the AFC championship game – which is moot), just because they happened to be in the same division as a team they tied with, who also held the tie breaker over them. The Steelers probably would have ended up 14-2 if they played in the West and the point would be moot. If you want to keep the division structure, fine. It happens too often that a team won’t make the playoffs as a wild card while a team with a worse record wins their division and gets in.

The list just over the last 5 seasons:

2011 – The Broncos (8-8) make it while the Titans (9-7) do not.
2010 – The 7-9 Sea Chicks make it over the 10-6 Giants and the 10-6 Bucs.
2008 – The 8-8 Chargers make it over the 11-5 Patriots and the 9-7 Jets.

That 2008 Pats team is the only 11 win team that did not make the playoffs that I could find in the 2 wild card era.

My other problem with the playoff seeding is that in the NFL, since it is a single game, home field means a ton more (it is something like a 65-35 advantage in the playoffs) than the other sports where the multi-game series reduces it to something like 55-45 advantage.

The one thing that I am holding out hope for is the Broncos really aren’t that good and they really haven’t been great at home this year. That being said, the Steelers have a banged up O-line, banged up QB, lost their starting RB, have some injuries on defense and are without their starting safety, who can’t play because the altitude might literally kill him.

While we are at it, could someone please let the MLS know that their playoff system really doesn’t work either…

 

Note: this was written BEFORE the weekend playoff games were played.