by A.J. Coltrane
Last night the Patriots lost to the Panthers, 20-24. New England had the ball on the Carolina 18 yard line. Tom Brady tried to throw a pass into the end zone as time expired. The officials threw a flag, then picked it up and declared the game over. All of the talking heads freaked out.
Had the penalty stood, the Patriots would have had one more play, either from the 13 (for defensive holding), or from the 1 (if it was pass interference).
What the talking heads didn’t say:
The line was Panthers -1. They covered. Had New England gotten another attempt and scored a touchdown it would have swung the cover to the Patriots.
And — The Over/Under was 46.5. The final game score was 44, so the “Under” won. Had the Patriots scored a touchdown it would have moved to the “Over”.
I’m going to guess that most of the money was on the Patriots and the Over. I don’t have anything concrete to base that on, other than people like betting the Patriots, and they like betting the Over… If I’m correct, the bookies and sportsbooks are very happy right now.