Uglier And Uglier

by A.J. Coltrane

Multiple sources are reporting that the Seahawks are parting ways with Matt Hasselbeck. They chose to go with two new guys, signing Tavaris Jackson and Matt Leinhart.

Ugh.

I’m of the opinion that Hasselbeck is cooked, so I’m not broken up about him leaving — I don’t think the Seahawks were going to win more than 9 games with him anyway. Tavaris Jackson, however, is… terrrrrible. Worse than terrible. I thought he stunk with the Vikings — bad technique, bad decision making, just tons of stuff that made me glad he wasn’t my quarterback… I’m not sure I could stand watching him as the quarterback of the Seahawks on the weekly basis.

I’m hoping we won’t have to.

I seem to be in the minority in that I think Whitehurst may still prove that he can play. There’s also the possibility that Leinhart may “get his act together” and show that he’s the guy.

Here’s Mike Sando’s take on it, appropriately titled “Tavaris Jackson? What Seattles Thinking?” John Clayton also has a video at the bottom of the Sando piece.

I know that this has all been rumored for days, but now that it finally happened my reaction is… I’m disgusted.

The Vegas over/under is 6.5 wins for the Seahawks. Take the under before it moves.

Kyle Seager and the Silver Bullet Band

By Blaidd Drwg

Bob Seger had skills and range in his younger days. I wonder if he would be willing to trade his guitar for a bat and glove and play 3B for the Mariners?

The Kyle Seager experience is over for now as he was shipped back to Tacoma. Seager managed to actually be worse than Chone Figgins in his 22 MLB at bats, posting a whopping .136 BA with no extra base hits and 7 strikeouts. It should have been worse – he had an infield single against Texas that was scored a hit that really should have been an error. You know you are off to a bad start when Chone Figgins looks like a better option; heck I think Bob Seger might have been a better choice at 3B for the Mariners.

I know that the Mariners were trying to catch lightning in a bottle when they called Seager up from his hot start in Tacoma, but what made them think that a guy with 60 PA in AAA was ready for the big club?

In other Mariners news, it seems the never-ending LF tryouts has moved from Bradley to Saunders to Peguero to Halman and now to Carp. Good luck to Carp – you probably have about 100 AB to figure out if you can hit your weight.

Getting Your Pork on This Weekend

By Iron Chef Leftovers

If you have a ton of money, time and a great desire to head to the desert this weekend, you should be in Vegas for All Star Cochon 555 (tickets start at $150).

What is it? Well, 10 chefs, 4 butchers, 14 pigs, all sorts of porky goodness – basically the premier porcine event of the year. The event includes the past 2 winners of the Grand Cochon 555 as well as a number of regional winners. The chefs I would love to see:

John Sundstrom of Lark in Seattle
Andy Ricker of Pok Pok in Portland (I have a big man-crush on this guy)
Devin Knell of French Laundry in Napa (any surprise that he won a cooking competition?)
David Varley of Michael Mina in SF
Stephanie Izard of Girl and the Goat in Chicago (and Top Chef Fame)

Some day, I will get myself to this and enjoy it and then probably die of a heart attack.

Mini Factoid About Running Backs

by A.J. Coltrane

A mini factiod from a piece authored by Bill Barnwell on Bill Simmons’ new website, Grantland. The piece is about the “dangers” of signing different types of NFL free agents. The excerpt below highlights the potential drawbacks in signing free agent veteran running backs:

…that’s two impact backs in the past seven free-agent classes. Running backs simply don’t last long enough — running backs who put up a 1,000-yard season since 1983 have only been able to repeat that performance an average of 1.5 times over the remainder of their careers.

Emphasis mine.

I’m of the suspicion that the probability of a running back following his first 1,000 yard campaign with a 2nd 1,000 yard season is something like 30%.

Interesting and Useless Baseball Facts

By Blaidd Drwg

Old friend Joe Posnanski came up with a list of 14 random baseball facts recently (Hey, even the best professional writers get bored). A few of the gems from his list:

14. Johnny Damon has as many hits as Ted Williams (2,654 hits).

Number 14 isn’t all that exciting by itself, but it becomes more interesting when you couple it with this bit from his commentary:

I’d say if you put together the best team you could find of hitters who DID NOT get 3,000 hits, it would beat the team of players who DID get 3,000 hits.

Team with 3,000 hits:
1B: Stan Musial
2B: Eddie Collins
SS: Cal Ripken (or Jeter soon)
3B: George Brett
LF: Ty Cobb (or Rickey or Yaz)
CF: Willie Mays
RF: Hank Aaron (or Clemente or Kaline)
C: None (Ivan Rodriguez only one with 2,500 hits)

That team is amazing. But look at the non-3,0000 hit team.

Team without 3,000 hits
1B: Lou Gehrig
2B: Joe Morgan (or Hornsby)
SS: Honus Wagner
3B: Mike Schmidt (or A-Rod)
LF: Ted Williams (or Barry Bonds)
CF: Mickey Mantle (or DiMaggio)
RF: Babe Ruth
C: Johnny Bench (or Yogi)

I think I will take the less than 3000 hits team, thanks.

6. Aubrey Huff’s next double (344) will move him ahead of Mickey Mantle on the all-time doubles list.

I guess this should not have surprised me – for all of the complaints about modern parks, the old, old Yankee Stadium was just as bad – despite a center field that was larger than most parks short of Yellowstone, it was less than 320 feet down the lines and had shorter power alleys than most parks, which probably lead to less doubles and more HR for the Mick.

5. Dan Quisenberry led the league in saves more times than Mariano Rivera did (5-3).

Not surprising. Saves are overrated, but it might just be another indicator of just how good the Quiz was.

1. Ron Kittle hit more home runs per at-bat than Lou Gehrig (1 every 15.39 at-bats vs. 1 every 16.23).

I forgot how much of a masher Kittle was – did you know he once had a 50 HR season in the minors in the early 80’s, back when it was rare? He also hit 40 HR’s in the minors the year before. Joe Pos’s section on Kittle is a great read.

Turning Lobsters into Golf Balls

By Iron Chef Leftovers

A professor a the University of Maine has come up with a way to turn lobster shells into bio-degradable golf balls. Some of the details:

The lobster golf balls solve two environmental problems, actually. “We’re using a byproduct of the lobster-canning industry, which is currently miserably underutilized — it ends up in a landfill,” Neivandt said.

Neivandt and Caddell see the golf balls as particularly useful on cruise ships. They can be used with both drivers and irons, Caddell told WMTW.

Biodegradable golf balls currently on the market sell for about $1 a ball retail; the raw materials for the lobster shell balls cost as little as 19 cents.

I guess this shouldn’t be a surprise that someone from Maine came up with this, although I am surprised that it took this long. It makes me wonder if the same could be done with crab shells, since we do have a pretty large Dungeness crab processing industry in the Pacific Northwest.

This also gives me an idea for the next time I do a lobster dinner…

Is it time to move the Safeco fences in?

By Blaidd Drwg

That is the question. I decided to take a look to see how much of a home road split there has been for the Mariners over the last few seasons; seasons that are stringing together one of the most inept offensive streaks in baseball history (we are talking dead ball era bad).

The first thing I noticed today was the park factor for Safeco this season is 100, which means that the most historically pitcher friendly park in the league is playing neutral this season, which is a huge surprise. Here are the splits for the Mariners between home and road over the last few seasons:

HOME ROAD
R HR BA SLG OPS+ R HR BA SLG OPS+
2011 156 32 .220 .330 72 145 23 .228 .332 78
2010 239 35 .235 .322 68 274 66 .236 .356 84
2009 313 76 .255 .395 85 327 84 .260 .409 96
2008 337 59 .271 .398 87 334 65 .260 .381 91
2007 386 77 .283 .418 96 408 76 .290 .432 106
2006 353 81 .267 .422 88 403 91 .277 .432 102
2005 354 63 .260 .390 87 345 67 .252 .393 92
2004 313 71 .255 .385 83 385 65 .285 .415 98

I picked 2004 as the starting point for this since that was the year I became a season ticket holder (has it really been that long) and I wanted to see if my memories of these teams fit the reality of the numbers. Looking at these numbers, the team was pretty consistent between 2004 and 2009 – they were about 12 – 17 % below league average hitting at home and hovering right around league average on the road, then they fall off a cliff offensively; interestingly enough in years 2 and 3 of the Z-era (he can’t take any credit or blame for year 1, those were mostly Bavasi’s players). The numbers indicate that there is a significant enough split between the home and road stats that maybe the Mariners should consider moving the fences in a few feet to try to generate more offense, although I doubt that it would at all help the current offense – they just can’t hit regardless of where they play. I also think that the honeymoon period for Z is long over – he came to Seattle with the reputation of being a great evaluator of talent. His Evaluation has driven the Mariners offense directly into the ground and produced a season and a half of the worst offense since WW2.

To answer the question, should the fences come in, I would say yes!

“Its one, two strikes your out at the old ball game”

By Blaidd Drwg

It is all over the news in Seattle – for the second time in 8 games, the Mariners had an opposing hitter take a base on balls with just 3 balls. Ok, as a former umpire, I wanted to put my 2 cents in on this one.

It happens. You occasionally make a mistake on the count – every umpire has done it. You have a ball/strike indicator in your hand and you occasionally advance it too far or not enough or just forget on a pitch and you have the wrong count. It has happened to me multiple times but only once do I believe that a runner took a walk with less than 4 balls. In that case, I was the only umpire, it was a long at bat and the opposing coach did question it, but didn’t put up any argument when I said I had ball 4. In this case, I find the mistake excusable.

What is not excusable is the situation that happened twice to the Mariners, I am just trying to figure out who is more at fault – the umpires or the Mariners bench.

There are 4 umpires in a MLB game. They all have a ball/strike indicator which they keep independently. You generally have to look at it to reset it for the next batter. How the heck did none of them notice that the hitter only had 3 balls, not 4? In both cases, the home plate umpire had 3 balls on his indicator and assumed it was a mistake after looking at the scoreboard. NEVER LOOK AT THE SCOREBOARD. You are paid to get it right, the scoreboard is there for the fans. If you think the count is wrong, consult with the other umpires. Seeing the umpires blatantly miss a call like that twice in the span of a week drives me nuts. They will consult on home run calls, they will consult on close plays, why not on the count? Are they afraid of looking stupid?

While the umps are supposed to get it right, the Mariners bench coaches should be fired for what I see is a lack of attention to detail. Every MLB has someone on the bench charting pitches. That person should have noticed it. There are at least 10 guys on that bench who are supposed to be watching the game. One of them should have noticed. I am even more disturbed by Wedge’s comments about the 3 ball walk to Abreu:

“I was OK with that,” Wedge said. “I figured it worked against us last time, let it work for us this time. … I was fine with (Abreu) not being up there 3-1 with the next two guys coming. I felt good about Felix facing those next two guys. I was hoping for a double play, but we got a strikeout and a popup.”

Does this mean he noticed and just didn’t care? If that is the case, he shouldn’t be managing a MLB team. Baserunners are bad if you are on defense, even with Felix pitching. It changes the dynamic of how a pitcher approaches a hitter and that could lead to trouble. Is it any wonder why the Mariners are sinking quicker than a deflating balloon*?

* I almost used the Indianapolis, but I pulled it back since I did not want to make light of the deaths of 900 US sailors in the worst single naval disaster (and probably failure in military intelligence) in American history. You probably only know the Indianapolis from “Jaws”, so if you don’t know the whole story, read about it here.

Mark Your Calendars

By Iron Chef Leftovers

Anthony Bourdain is invading the Pacific Northwest. He will be appearing at the Paramount Theater in Seattle with Eric Ripert on February 12th, 2012. No word yet on when tickets will go on-sale.

For those who cannot wait that long, Bourdain will be showing up in Vancouver BC on October 29th at the Centre for the Performing Arts. Tickets start at around 60$ CAD (150$ if you opt for the VIP package) and go on-sale this Friday. If you want to save 10%, you can use the code BLUE until 11:59 PM Thursday to pre-order.

Figgins and Cust to Lose Playing Time

By Blaidd Drwg

A quick question: Which of these fine hitters would you want in your lineup?

BATS PA OBP SLG OPS+
Player A L 245 .359 .335 100
Player B S 115 .313 .356 91
Player C L 148 .243 .372 73
Player D R 52 .314 .408 104
Player E L 42 .333 .257 72

It would be pretty easy to eliminate Player C from this list – the OBP is awful, despite having one of the “better” slugging percentages on the list (and that is still pretty lousy). Player B wouldn’t be the worst choice and player E does not have enough plate appearances to make a call on. Players A and D would be the logical choices, but I would be cautious of Player D – small sample size. I have also intentionally left out Batting Average. You might say that Player A is the no-brainer when I add that he has 44 walks in those 245 PA and Player D only has 3 in 52 PA.

The list of players (in order of appearance): Jack Cust, Milton Bradley, Carlos Peguero, Greg Halman and Mike Carp.

The Mariners recently announced that Cust and Chone Figgins would see reduced playing time. It is funn, because it is hard to lose playing time when you are only in the lineup maybe twice a week anyway. I can’t make the argument for that being a bad thing for Figgins, but it does not make any sense to me to reduce Cust’s playing time if you are trying to win.

His power numbers are way down this season, but Cust has the highest OBP on the team, leads the team in walks (one ahead of Justin Smoak, who has roughly 100 more PA) and really is better than his .215 BA. Besides, the only Mariner with more than 100 PA and a higher OPS+ is Smoak. Adam Kennedy figures to take the bulk of the AB from Cust at this point.

Considering Bradley is gone, Carp is back in Tacoma and the Halman/Peguero platoon should produce somewhere around 20 walks this season and, if we are lucky, hit over .220, why not play Cust on a regular basis?

It seems to me that the team is adopting a “let’s play the kids and if we win, great, if not, we will call it a rebuilding year” mentality, which is fine, but let Jack Cust go to someplace where he can produce.