by A.J. Coltrane
A mini factiod from a piece authored by Bill Barnwell on Bill Simmons’ new website, Grantland. The piece is about the “dangers” of signing different types of NFL free agents. The excerpt below highlights the potential drawbacks in signing free agent veteran running backs:
…that’s two impact backs in the past seven free-agent classes. Running backs simply don’t last long enough — running backs who put up a 1,000-yard season since 1983 have only been able to repeat that performance an average of 1.5 times over the remainder of their careers.
Emphasis mine.
I’m of the suspicion that the probability of a running back following his first 1,000 yard campaign with a 2nd 1,000 yard season is something like 30%.
FlatbreadGarden 