by Coltrane
| Team | Checking In | Checking Out | 2009 Record | 2009 Passing Rank | 2009 Points/ Game |
| Raiders | Jason Campbell | JaMarcus Russell | 5-11 | 29th | 12.3 |
| Redskins | Donovan McNabb | Jason Cambell | 4-12 | 15th | 16.6 |
| Eagles | Kevin Kolb | Donovan McNabb | 11-5 | 10th | 26.8 |
John Clayton thinks that Donovan McNabb will add 5-6 points per game to the Redskins’ offense.
I always start by assuming that Clayton is correct. Then, if I don’t agree with him, I figure I must have missed something. However —
Here’s what I think:
McNabb and new coach Mike Shanahan will score 3-5 more points per game than the 2009 Redskins. A big part of that will be (or should be) attributed to the upgrade from Zorn to Shanahan.
The Eagles won’t miss McNabb. Philadelphia was 5th in the league in scoring last year, so some regression back to the pack is figured in the chart below. Kevin Kolb will be an All-Pro within three years.
The Raiders will make a big leap forward with Jason Campbell. Part of that will be due to JaMarcus Russell’s release, simple addition by subtraction.
To sum up:
Donovan McNabb — Overrated.
Jason Campbell — Very underrated.
Kevin Kolb — Mostly unknown commodity, but not for long.
2010 predicted totals — something like:
| Team | New QB | 2009 Points/ Game | 2010 Points/ Game | Change |
| Raiders | Jason Campbell | 12.3 | 17.1 | +4.8 |
| Redskins | Donovan McNabb | 16.6 | 20.5 | +3.9 |
| Eagles | Kevin Kolb | 26.8 | 25.4 | -1.4 |
Even if Kolb is healthy next week, with the offensive line playing so bad, how do you start him over Vick? At least Vick can avoid the pressure.
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