by Coltrane
The chart below shows the ages of the “rotation” players (19+ minutes per game) of three teams I think Lebron is most likely to go to, listed by order of playing time. I don’t think he’s going to the Knicks or Nets. (The Knicks don’t have the second star to play with, or cap room to afford it without gutting the team. The Nets just plain stink.)
The “21” in the Bulls column is Derrick Rose. Rose is a potential perennial All-Star. The Bulls have Joaquim Noah too. Noah is developing into a very good player.
The “21” in the Heat column is headcase Michael Beasley. Beasley is basically trade bait. The “28” is Dwayne Wade, who has more miles on his odometer than the usual 28 year-old. If Wade breaks down what does Miami have to offer?
| Cavs | Heat | Bulls |
| 27 | 28 | 25 |
| 33 | 21 | 21 |
| 27 | 31 | 29 |
| 34 | 29 | 25 |
| 26 | 30 | 24 |
| 38 | 33 | 34 |
| 34 | 23 | 30 |
| 21 | 30 | 27 |
| 25 | 24 | |
| Average | Average | Average |
| 29.4 | 27.7 | 26.9 |
The Cavs are borderline old and they’re not going to get better going forward– they’re just going to get more old. It’s time for Lebron to go to elsewhere. If it weren’t for the shadow of Jordan I’d assume he was going to Chicago.
I’m guessing Chicago regardless. My second guess is Miami. It should be fun watching the circus.